#-161: UFC 245 Breakdown

Show notes (12-11-19): After recapping UFC on ESPN 7 (ending at approx. 19:00), Dan Tom breaks down UFC 245 from top to bottom, recapping his picks and plays at the very end of the episode.

If you would like to learn the in’s and out’s of UFC betting, then feel free to check out this “Betting Guide” provided by my friends at My Top Sportsbook: https://www.mytopsportsbooks.com/guide/how-to-bet-ufc/

– Usman vs Covington

The champion, Usman, is roughly a -180 favorite against Covington, who opened at a long +230 but has been bet down to about +160. This will be the first time that the 15-1 Covington has entered the octagon as an underdog. At the same time, Usman’s -180 odds are the second-worst of his career. Only his title fight against former champ Tyron Woodley saw him getting longer odds. If you are new to the sport or odds then why not learn the in’s and out’s of UFC betting with a useful guide on all the important info to know before betting on UFC 245.

– Nunes vs de Randamie

The odds for Nunes vs de Randamie have skewed slightly to the challenger since they first opened. Nunes was -300 or shorter to start out, but is now in the -270 to -290 range. De Randamie has gone from roughly +250 to +230. Their first fight ended in a first-round ground-and-pound stoppage by Nunes. Bettors evidently think de Randamie, a former kickboxer, has a better chance at keeping the rematch standing.

– Holloway vs Volkanovski

Max Holloway has seen his odds get slightly worse over the last month, going from -190 to -175. Alexander Volkanovski, meanwhile, has shortened from about +160 to +145. Volkanovski is somewhat similar in stature and style to Frankie Edgar, the man Holloway just tuned up, but has a strangely long reach (71.5″) for his height (5’6) plus a Greco-Roman pedigree that will help him control where the fight takes place.

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Song credits: “Dark Night” by The Blasters