Saturday, November 28th, 2015 in Seoul, South Korea for UFC Fight Night 79 “Henderson vs. Masvidal” by Daniel Tom

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Ham1

Seohee Ham (15-6)

Staple info:

  • Height: 5’2″ Age: 28 Weight: 115 lbs Reach: 62″
  • Last Fight: Dec. loss / Joanne Calderwood (12-12-14)
  • Camp: Busan Team M.A.D. (Korea)
  • Stance/Striking Style: Southpaw / Kickboxing
  • Risk Management: Moderate
  • Overall Fight Grade: C

Supplemental info:
+ Pro Kickboxing Titles
+ 8-3 as Pro Kickboxer
+ 2 Submissions 0 KO’s
+ 1 first round finish
+ Hard left body kick
+ Accurate left hand
^ Will catch kicks & counter
+ Solid footwork
+ Positional based top game
+ Competent submission & bottom game
– Low & parrying hands
^ Opens up counter shots
– Leaves legs behind in scrambles
^ Costs her positions  

Casey2

Cortney Casey (4-2)

Staple info:

  • Height: 5’7″ Age: 28 Weight: 115 lbs Reach: 67″
  • Last Fight: Dec. loss / Joanne Calderwood (7-18-15)
  • Camp: Freak Animal Fitness (AZ)
  • Stance/Striking Style: Orthodox / Kickboxing
  • Risk Management: Fair
  • Overall Fight Grade: C+

Supplemental info:
+ Amateur MMA Titles
+ BJJ Purple Belt
+ 2 KO’s 2 Submissions
+ All finishes in 1st round
+ 100% finish rate
+ Aggressive pressure & pace
+ Deceptively heavy hands
+/-Will pull guard
+ Dangerously active guard
^ Looks for sweeps & back-takes
+ Chains submission attacks
^ Favors armbar transitions
– concedes bad positions
+ Effectively closes distance

Summary:
Despite being the only female fight booked for Seoul, this match up of Seohee Ham vs Cortney Casey shapes up to be one of the more exciting prelims and possibly a “Fight of the Night” candidate. Seoul Korea’s Seohee is a technically well-rounded martial artist who’s very experienced in the Asian circuit(Both in MMA & Kickboxing). Though fairing very well in Asia, the “limited rules” implicated by those organizations can attribute to her lack of finishes, as it may also play a factor in this fight. With both women’s last fight being decision losses to Joanne Calderwood, Cortney Casey will have the quicker turn-around since her short notice step up in July.

Despite only being 4-2, Casey has an experienced Amateur career even earning Titles(Tuff-N-Uff Flyweight Champion). And with her only losses coming to top competition, Casey’s aggressive style has garnered the attention of those who follow the sport. Corntey’s consistent pace & pressure is something I see playing a factor in this fight. Coming out orthodox, Casey will circle in distance looking to close-in off counters. Though only having limited footage of her against southpaws, she shows an outside-foot awarenesswhich will be the key factor in the standing portion of this fight.

When it comes to said foot battle and footwork in general, Seo Hee is no slouch. Consistently circling or bouncing in-and-out of range, Ham will look to get her right foot on the outside and fire-off her accurate left hand. Often mixing in healthy doses of kicks, she could steal momentum and even rounds should she stay disciplined. Often parrying(sometimes too much) with her lead hand, Seohee also shows an excellent ability to catch kicks and counter with her left. Casey however, throws her kicks conservatively and often to the legs. This may only further expose Ham’s defensive tendencies as she’ll often over-reach and leave herself available to counters.

With Ham’s hands already low, her over-parrying could be especially costly given Casey’s dangerous hooks. If there’s one thing that’s not conservative about Cortney’s game, it’s her heavy handed hooks that are thrown in volume. Seohee will have to mind this as she may reach to parry jabs that don’t come. Though I give Seohee a technical and slight overall advantage standing, it could all be negated with the size & strength difference in this match-up. Naturally competing at Atom-weight, Seohee shows to struggle with these intangibles against bigger fighters like Calderwood.

Cortney Casey is not only bigger & stronger(for the Strawweight division in general), but her pace & pressure will be gas to this fire if Ham fails to manage it. This perceived advantage should only amplify once this contest touches the mat. Seohee shows much improved counter wrestling but that may not matter with their being so many routes(especially in female fights) that can be taken to the ground. Not the mention Casey’s propensity to pull guard, which can be looked down upon in MMA, but in this case may suit her well. Size difference aside, technically Seohee will leave her legs behind when transitioning which has shown to allow opposition back into fights with submission threats or position reversals.

Ham’s athleticism & composure has gotten her out of those bad spot and many others throughout her career. However it’s in those spots where Casey has shown to thrive as she’ll use leg attacks to reverse positions and take-backs. In summation this is a very close fight, but in said ground & standing exchanges, I feel Casey’s size, durability, and aggression will make the difference. Unless Seohee can shift the momentum early and apply a disciplined game, I believe Casey’s pressure will create an environment where the South Korean will have to succumb.

Official Pick: Casey – Inside the distance

Official Outcome: To be determined.

Preliminary Card Predictions

  • Dongi Yang def. Jake Collier
  • Yui Chul Nam def. Mke De La Torre
  • Tae Hyun Bang def. Leo Kuntz
  • Cortney Casey def. Seo Hee Ham
  • Yao Zhikui def. Fredy Serrano
  • Ning Guangyou def. Marco Beltran
  • Dominique Steele def. Dong Hyun Kim

Recommended Plays

Fantasy MMA Picks

High Tier Picks:

-Doo Ho Choi
-Dong Hyun Kim
-Benson Henderson

Low Tier Picks:

-Mike De La Torre
-Dongi Yang
-Alberto Mina

Pieces for your parlay:

-Doo Ho Choi
-Tae Hyun Bang
-Benson Henderson

Props worth looking at:

-Doo Ho Choi – by KO/TKO
-Dong Hyun Kim – Inside the distance

Fights to avoid:

-Yui Chul Nam vs Mike De La Torre
-Jake Collier vs Dongi Yang
-Sexyyama vs Alberto Mina

For the complete undercard analysis & past UFC events visit MixedMartialAnalyst.com and for future breakdowns & your latest in world-wide MMA news, stay tuned & follow @MMALatestnws MMALatestNews.com



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