Saturday, December 19th, 2015 in Orlando, Florida for UFC on FOX 17: “Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2” by Daniel Tom

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DuBronx2

Charles Oliveira (20-5)

Staple info:

  • Height: 5’11” Age: 26 Weight: 145 lbs Reach: 74″
  • Last Fight: TKO loss / Max Holloway (8-23-15)
  • Camp: Macaco Gold Team (Brazil)
  • Stance/Striking Style: Orthodox / Muay Thai
  • Risk Management: Fair
  • Overall Fight Grade: B

Supplemental info:
+   Brown Belt BJJ
+   12 Submission wins
+   6 KO victories
+   9 first round finishes
+   90% finish rate
+   Accurate left hook
+   Improved wrestling
+/-Will pull guard
+   Active bottom game
+   Dangerous in transitions
^   Always looks for submissions
+   Crafty clinch game
^   Hard knees in close
+   Consistent pressure
+/-Reverts to shell defense
–    Head upright & high
^   Right hand availabilites

Jury2

Myles Jury (15-1)

Staple info:

  • Height: 5’11” Age: 27 Weight: 145 lbs Reach: 73″
  • Last Fight: Decision loss / Donald Cerrone (1-3-15)
  • Camp: Power MMA (Arizona)
  • Stance/Striking Style: Orthodox / Kickboxing
  • Risk Management: Good
  • Overall Fight Grade: B

Supplemental info:
+   TUF 15 Alum
+   Black Belt BJJ
+   7 KO victories
+   11 first round finishes
+   5 Submission wins
+   Stopping power
+   Accurate right hand
^   Check right hook in retreat
+   Switches to Southpaw
^   Body kicks & TD shots
+   Manages distance well
^   Good lateral movement
+   Technical TD transitions
+   Strong top game
^   Excellent ground strikes
+/-Leans head heavily right
+/-First fight at Featherweight

Summary:

In what I consider to be this cards sleeper “Fight of the Night”, Myles Jury makes his return at Featherweight as he draws the always deadly Charles “Du Bronx” Oliveira. With both men coming off hard losses(in different ways), expect each man in top form to re-establish themselves amongst divisions the Top 10. Aside from the common theme of bouncing back from losses, the clear Intangibles heading into this is Jury’s transition from camps, and it’s subsequent lay-off(nearly one year since last fight). Though his past home of Alliance MMA & his new home of Power MMA are both great gyms, we’ve seen even high level fighters take a fight-or-two to adjust and integrate(in hit or miss fashion) with new technique’s and approaches.

Less we not forget, Myles is still very young in his career and given the trend of fight-to-fight improvements, we could see an entirely different “Fury” Jury here. In looking at Myles style, it’s his movement  that stands out as a key tie-in to his game, and I believe will be a key factor in this fight as well. Taking influence from his former training partner Dominic Cruz, Jury possesses similar but dialed down competency of lateral movement and transitions. He will however be forced to work in this fight as Oliveira’s constant forward pressure should be prevalent here(As seen in his fight with Jury’s friend Jeremy Stephens).

If Myles moves away from his movement game, and shows the plotting power adjustments as his teammate Johnny Case did in his last fight(a similarly styled fighter who transitioned at the same time), Jury may make himself more available to the sticky pressure game of “Du Bronx”. Despite Jiu-Jitsu being the strong point of Myles game(as he holds a Black Belt), I don’t suspect plan A will be to take Charles to the ground as I give Oliveira the edge in entanglements. I believe Jury’s last fight with Cowboy opened his eyes(especially on the ground), and I suspect he’ll look to keep this one standing where I believe he holds a better hand.

Not just being able to move on his feet, Jury has also shown he can hit while moving backwards as he wields an accurate check right hook when stepping back to Southpaw. Keeping his head upright(and often lacking movement), Oliveira has shown to be vulnerable to right hands in particular as he’s been hit & hurt by them in 6 of his last 10 fights. When Charles elects for defense, he’ll often revert to a shell defense which may also play to Jury’s arsenal. As Myles will make his afore-mentioned stance switches, he favors a mean body kick or level-change(should he chose to play that game). Body shots should especially  have availabilities as 2/3 of Oliveira’s TKO losses were initiated by body shots(the other being freak injury).

Jury will have to mind his tendency to lean heavily right as “Du Bronx” fires an accurate left hook, but overall I see Myles landing the more quality shots standing. Charles best chances in this fight will be forcing his classic “Sticky-Action” by initiating clinches(where he lands effective knees), or forcing wrestling shots to cage pressure(as he’s shown improved takedowns & crafty guard pulls). Intangibles aside, this one is going to come down to distance management, and from the footage I’ve studied I’m gonna side with Jury to get it done. But rest assured,”Du Bronx” won’t make it an easy night and will be live as long as this one lasts.

Official Pick: Jury – Decision

Official Outcome: Oliveira – Submission – round 1.

Preliminary Card Predictions

  • Randa Markos def. Karolina Kowalkiewicz*Main Card
  • Myles Jury def. Charles Oliveira
  • CB Dolloway def. Nate Marquardt
  • Sara Kaufman def. Valentina Schevchenko
  • Tamdan McCrory def. Josh Samman
  • Nick Lentz def. Danny Castillo
  • Cole Miller def. jim Alers
  • Leon Edwards def. Kamaru Usman
  • Hayder Hassan def. Vincente Luque
  • Francis Ngannou def. Luis Henrique

Recommended Plays

Fantasy MMA Picks

High Tier Picks:

-Rafael Dos Anjos
-Junior Dos Santos

Low Tier Picks:

-Nate Diaz
-Charles Oliveira

Pieces for your parlay:

-Junior Dos Santos
-Rafael Dos Anjos
-CB Dolloway

Props worth looking at:

-Jury – Decision
-Dolloway – Inside the distance

Fights to avoid:

-Cole Miller vs Jim Alers
-Josh Samman vs Tamdan Mcrory

For the complete analysis of future & past UFC events visit MixedMartialAnalyst.com and for future breakdowns & your latest in world-wide MMA news, stay tuned & follow @MMALatestnws MMALatestNews.com



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